“BT has to reach numbers like this to show that their investment in superfast broadband is credible,” explains Tim Johnson, chief analyst at Point Topic. “They have to show both that the demand is there and that they have the technology to supply it. It’s going to be very exciting to see if they manage it.”
BT has announced ambitious roll out plans for its “superfast” broadband service (see "BT to trial gigabit FTTP broadband"), which Point Topic defines as supplying 25 Mbps or more. Meanwhile, the Government has announced its own strategy to spur superfast broadband deployment (see "Digital hubs central to next phase of UK broadband strategy").
However, BT will have to increase its deployment rate to make Point Topic look good. BT Infinity will have to triple its October 2010 deployment rate of 3,000 connections per week in the first half of 2011 and then raise it again to 14,000 a week in the second half of the year to hit Point Topic’s numbers.
Point Topic bases its cheery estimates on several factors: